Macro-System Model

Project Summary

Full Title:	Macro-System Model (MSM)
Project ID:	66
Principal Investigator:	Mark Ruth
Brief Description:	Federated object model framework is used to link other models to perform rapid cross-cutting analysis.
Keywords:	Transition; well-to-wheels (WTW); renewable; hydrogen production; emissions; cost

Purpose

Perform rapid cross-cutting analysis by utilizing and linking other models. This work will also improve consistency between models. Analyses that require the MSM will be used to support decisions regarding programmatic investments and focus of funding and to estimate program outputs and outcomes.

Performer

Principal Investigator:	Mark Ruth
Organization:	National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)
Address:	1617 Cole Blvd. Golden, CO 80401
Telephone:	303-384-6874
Email:	mark_ruth@nrel.gov
Additional Performers:	Sandia National Laboratory; National Renewable Energy Laboratory

Sponsor(s)

Name:	Fred Joseck
Organization:	DOE/EERE/HFCIT
Telephone:	202-586-7932
Email:	Fred.Joseck@ee.doe.gov

Period of Performance

Start:	February 2005
End:	September 2010

Project Description

Type of Project:	Model
Category:	Hydrogen Fuel Pathways
Objectives:	Many objectives are involved. Initially, the following objectives are being addressed: Comparison of profitized hydrogen costs at the pump using different hydrogen production/delivery technologies. Raw material needs required to meet a city's potential hydrogen demands. Emissions profile of hydrogen use within a city. In the longer term, transition needs, costs, raw materials and emissions will be modeled. Spatial models will also be included in the MSM.
Technologies Modeled:	Initially, production and delivery technologies are included. The following have been integrated as of August 2006: Central production technologies Biomass gasification Coal gasification with carbon dioxide sequestration Coal gasification without carbon dioxide sequestration Natural gas reforming with carbon dioxide sequestration Natural gas reforming without carbon dioxide sequestration Electrolysis using electricity generated by wind turbines Distributed production technologies Electrolysis Natural gas reforming Delivery technologies Piping of gaseous hydrogen Truck-transport of liquid hydrogen
User Inputs:	Many variables can be modified. For the initial version, the primary variables include technology year; city size and hydrogen fuel penetration; production and delivery technology; and inclusion of hydrogen losses in the production/delivery pathway. Other data is taken as outputs from models but those outputs can be overwritten with user inputs. Examples of those include vehicle efficiency and feedstock requirements to produce 1 kg of hydrogen.

Methodology/Approach:	A federated object model framework is used to transfer data between and launch runs in existing models. Algebraic calculations are necessary to convert data because different models often use different units and break steps down differently.

Hardware/Software Requirements:	Intrinsyc J-Integra and Microsoft Excel

User Interface:	Microsoft Excel

Data Used/Contributing Research:	Physical property data from HyARC (integrated into the MSM) http://hydrogen.pnl.gov/filedownloads/hydrogen/datasheets/lower_and_higher_heating_values.xls

Outputs:	In the initial version, the following outputs are generated by the linked models and are available to the user: Profitized hydrogen cost at the pump and breakdown between production and delivery. Raw material (biomass, coal, natural gas, electricity, and diesel) needs required to meet a city's potential hydrogen demands as well as total energy and well-to-pump and well-to-wheels efficiencies. Emissions profile (CO2, CH4, N2O, GHG, VOC, CO, NOx, PM10, SOx) for hydrogen use within a city.

Outputs:

In the initial version, the following outputs are generated by the linked models and are available to the user:

Profitized hydrogen cost at the pump and breakdown between production and delivery.
Raw material (biomass, coal, natural gas, electricity, and diesel) needs required to meet a city's potential hydrogen demands as well as total energy and well-to-pump and well-to-wheels efficiencies.
Emissions profile (CO2, CH4, N2O, GHG, VOC, CO, NOx, PM10, SOx) for hydrogen use within a city.

Assumptions Inherent in Model:	All assumptions in the model are based on assumptions that are incorporated in the component models.

Sensitivity Studies Facilitated:	The initial form of the MSM facilitates studies of production and delivery pathways and effects upon them. The MSM provides consistency between models in a simplified way so that changes in parameters used for either production or delivery can easily be carried through the process and consistent data is used for emissions modeling.

Milestones Supported:	Milestone 14 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Complete necessary review for Macro-System Model Architecture. Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT Completion Date: March 2005 Milestone 16 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Complete input/output guidelines for the Macro-system Model. Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT Completion Date: June 2005 Milestone 17 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Select transition model for analysis and incorporation into Macro-System Model. Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT Completion Date: September 2005 Milestone 18 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Develop initial Macro-System Model Architecture. Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT Completion Date: September 2005 Milestone 19 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Capture MSM requirements, description, and usage in a description document. Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT Completion Date: December 2005 Milestone 20 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Peer review the MSM. Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT Completion Date: June 2006 Milestone 21 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Complete 1st version of the MSM. Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT Completion Date: December 2006 Milestone 22 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Complete integration of the MSM into Systems Analysis and accomplish annual major model upgrades (2010 includes electricity infrastructure). Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT Completion Date: March 2007

Milestones Supported:

Milestone 14 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Complete necessary review for Macro-System Model Architecture.
- Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT
- Completion Date: March 2005

Milestone 16 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Complete input/output guidelines for the Macro-system Model.
- Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT
- Completion Date: June 2005

Milestone 17 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Select transition model for analysis and incorporation into Macro-System Model.
- Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT
- Completion Date: September 2005

Milestone 18 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Develop initial Macro-System Model Architecture.
- Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT
- Completion Date: September 2005

Milestone 19 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Capture MSM requirements, description, and usage in a description document.
- Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT
- Completion Date: December 2005

Milestone 20 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Peer review the MSM.
- Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT
- Completion Date: June 2006

Milestone 21 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Complete 1st version of the MSM.
- Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT
- Completion Date: December 2006

Milestone 22 in the DOE Hydrogen Program’s Multi-Year RD&D Plan, under the Systems Analysis section: Complete integration of the MSM into Systems Analysis and accomplish annual major model upgrades (2010 includes electricity infrastructure).
- Organization: DOE/EERE/HFCIT
- Completion Date: March 2007

Timeframe Studied:	2005 - 2030

Products/Deliverables

	Description: FY 2007 Progress Report Publication Title: FY 2007 DOE Hydrogen Program Progress Report Article/Abstract Title: VIII.5 Macro-System Model Page number(s): 1204 Publisher: U.S. Department of Energy Author Name(s): Ruth, Mark; Vanderveen, Keith (PDF 414 KB) Download Adobe Reader. Publication Date: November 2007 Description: FY 2007 Annual Merit Review Presentation Article/Abstract Title: Macro-System Model Author Name(s): Ruth, Mark (PDF 753 KB) Download Adobe Reader. Publication Date: May 2007 Description: FY 2006 Progress Report Publication Title: FY 2006 DOE Hydrogen Program Progress Report Article/Abstract Title: VIII.9 Macro-System Model Page number(s): 1111 Publisher: U.S. Department of Energy Author Name(s): Ruth, Mark; Vanderveen, Keith (PDF 187 KB) Download Adobe Reader. Publication Date: November 2006 Description: FY 2005 Progress Report Publication Title: FY 2005 DOE Hydrogen Program Progress Report Article/Abstract Title: III.11 Macro-System Model Page number(s): 62 Publisher: U.S. Department of Energy Author Name(s): Ruth, Mark (PDF 381 KB) Download Adobe Reader. Publication Date: November 2005

Description: FY 2007 Progress Report
Publication Title: FY 2007 DOE Hydrogen Program Progress Report
Article/Abstract Title: VIII.5 Macro-System Model
Page number(s): 1204
Publisher: U.S. Department of Energy
Author Name(s): Ruth, Mark; Vanderveen, Keith
(PDF 414 KB) Download Adobe Reader.
Publication Date: November 2007
Description: FY 2007 Annual Merit Review Presentation
Article/Abstract Title: Macro-System Model
Author Name(s): Ruth, Mark
(PDF 753 KB) Download Adobe Reader.
Publication Date: May 2007
Description: FY 2006 Progress Report
Publication Title: FY 2006 DOE Hydrogen Program Progress Report
Article/Abstract Title: VIII.9 Macro-System Model
Page number(s): 1111
Publisher: U.S. Department of Energy
Author Name(s): Ruth, Mark; Vanderveen, Keith
(PDF 187 KB) Download Adobe Reader.
Publication Date: November 2006
Description: FY 2005 Progress Report
Publication Title: FY 2005 DOE Hydrogen Program Progress Report
Article/Abstract Title: III.11 Macro-System Model
Page number(s): 62
Publisher: U.S. Department of Energy
Author Name(s): Ruth, Mark
(PDF 381 KB) Download Adobe Reader.
Publication Date: November 2005

Related Model:	H2A Production Models (integrated into the MSM) http://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/h2a_production.html H2A Delivery Scenario Model (integrated into the MSM) http://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/h2a_delivery.html The Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Transportation (GREET) Model Version 1.7 Beta (integrated into the MSM) http://www.transportation.anl.gov/modeling_simulation/GREET/index.html

Related Model:

H2A Production Models (integrated into the MSM)
http://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/h2a_production.html
H2A Delivery Scenario Model (integrated into the MSM)
http://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/h2a_delivery.html
The Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Transportation (GREET) Model Version 1.7 Beta (integrated into the MSM)
http://www.transportation.anl.gov/modeling_simulation/GREET/index.html

Date Last Updated: 08/21/2006